Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.000601 0.000691 0.000788 0.000898 0.001019 0.001149 0.001297
2025-06-01 0.000446 0.000568 0.000707 0.000876 0.001075 0.001301 0.001573
2025-06-08 0.000358 0.000489 0.000647 0.000848 0.001094 0.001383 0.001744
2025-06-15 0.000303 0.000441 0.000615 0.000845 0.001138 0.001491 0.001945
2025-06-22 0.000261 0.000403 0.000589 0.000843 0.001176 0.001589 0.002132
2025-06-29 0.000224 0.000366 0.000559 0.000832 0.001199 0.001666 0.002292
2025-07-06 0.000191 0.000331 0.000528 0.000815 0.001212 0.001727 0.002431
2025-07-13 0.000175 0.000316 0.000523 0.000834 0.001271 0.001848 0.002649
2025-07-20 0.000158 0.000301 0.000516 0.000846 0.001320 0.001957 0.002853
2025-07-27 0.000139 0.000278 0.000495 0.000837 0.001339 0.002024 0.003001
2025-08-03 0.000121 0.000255 0.000472 0.000822 0.001347 0.002075 0.003128
2025-08-10 0.000110 0.000244 0.000465 0.000832 0.001390 0.002176 0.003325
2025-08-17 0.000099 0.000230 0.000454 0.000833 0.001422 0.002262 0.003505
2025-08-24 0.000084 0.000207 0.000426 0.000807 0.001411 0.002286 0.003600
2025-08-31 0.000071 0.000186 0.000400 0.000782 0.001400 0.002309 0.003692
2025-09-07 0.000063 0.000175 0.000389 0.000779 0.001422 0.002382 0.003855
2025-09-14 0.000056 0.000164 0.000378 0.000777 0.001446 0.002455 0.004020
2025-09-21 0.000049 0.000152 0.000363 0.000767 0.001454 0.002506 0.004152
2025-09-28 0.000042 0.000140 0.000346 0.000751 0.001453 0.002541 0.004263
2025-10-05 0.000039 0.000137 0.000348 0.000768 0.001507 0.002662 0.004502
2025-10-12 0.000036 0.000132 0.000346 0.000780 0.001551 0.002768 0.004720
2025-10-19 0.000032 0.000123 0.000334 0.000771 0.001560 0.002820 0.004859
2025-10-26 0.000027 0.000114 0.000320 0.000757 0.001560 0.002856 0.004972